What Are The Swing States Of The Future?
Politics tamfitronics Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited.ameliatd (Amelia Thomson-DeVeauxsenior reporter): The residents of states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan are used to having their airwaves flooded with political ads as presidential elections draw near. But over the years, there’s actually been a lot of variation in which states have the most power to decide the future commander-in-chief. Only a few years ago, it would have been hard to imagine Arizona and Georgia in the toss-up category — and “as Ohio goes, so goes the nation” was proved wrong in 2020when President Joe Biden became the first candidate to win the White House without carrying Ohio since 1960.So have Arizona and Georgia replaced Ohio as the nation’s presidential bellwether? Is once-swingy Florida officially a red state? Let’s talk about...